Forecasting the impacts of Climate Change in the Columbia River Basin: Threats to Fish Habitat Connectivity

Fish growth, distribution and movement, foodweb data, river flow and water temperature data will be used to develop spatially-explicit bioenergetics models to assess effects of climate change on the viability of resident salmonid populations based on models being developed by USGS.

Deliverables:

1. Provide annual reports of all activities in October each year
2. Spatially explicit hydrologic and temperature profile GIS maps of the current Methow River, including
3. Bioenergetics models for selected salmonid species based on empirical data from fish and foodweb data collected in the MRB
4. Integration of bioenergetics model outputs (i.e., growth of individuals) with predicted changes in spatially explicit physical environmental variables (i.e., water temperature,flow, habitat availability)
5. Analyses of effects of change in growth of individuals under climate change (i.e., bioenergetics model outputs) to population viability
6. Several peer-reviewed publications will follow from the above products using Analytica software (Lumina Decision Systems)

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